Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 55.481201 63.400102 71.537333 80.489006 90.026614 99.853655 110.713469
2026-01-04 44.299680 55.677586 67.938659 81.988976 97.510078 114.011875 132.766818
2026-01-11 36.547852 49.625886 64.253572 81.526419 101.094008 122.336696 146.916768
2026-01-18 30.621021 44.784713 61.185316 81.072102 104.086965 129.502787 159.334554
2026-01-25 26.385898 41.381302 59.302429 81.540199 107.741103 137.081646 171.914330
2026-02-01 22.336883 37.733653 56.744973 80.879515 109.806557 142.623842 181.991649
2026-02-08 19.188571 34.884538 54.881007 80.802722 112.348947 148.544524 192.352682
2026-02-15 16.145711 31.834721 52.503197 79.877113 113.700181 152.938260 200.835615
2026-02-22 14.302649 30.251437 51.860521 80.978912 117.388180 159.986194 212.322566
2026-03-01 12.809955 29.009741 51.549806 82.405675 121.399658 167.363113 224.152860
2026-03-08 10.703122 26.588459 49.474351 81.433114 122.352716 171.023458 231.564507
2026-03-15 8.658567 23.988774 46.962841 79.741819 122.292777 173.377792 237.359463
2026-03-22 8.184949 23.989237 48.144038 82.965834 128.462338 183.320677 252.245552
2026-03-29 7.344649 23.245937 48.192621 84.640047 132.654858 190.866588 264.294445
2026-04-05 6.077664 21.535773 46.700568 84.142315 134.012837 194.910729 272.124502
2026-04-12 4.982935 19.962098 45.299537 83.684876 135.360039 198.896268 279.849384
2026-04-19 4.210493 18.902549 44.611270 84.160342 137.875651 204.293156 289.253855
2026-04-26 3.335214 17.425756 43.160020 83.488162 138.838331 207.728806 296.258888
2026-05-03 2.676368 16.285992 42.167734 83.409982 140.540286 212.054768 304.322468
2026-05-10 1.998675 14.880044 40.627939 82.467967 141.043485 214.843722 310.485550
2026-05-17 1.668413 14.339369 40.517845 83.589290 144.287474 221.067602 320.842378
2026-05-24 1.413837 13.951274 40.643201 85.041161 147.966746 227.837488 331.870142
2026-05-31 0.970698 12.715269 39.172186 84.051507 148.303517 230.347610 337.643682